Charts show the selected country's absolute score and relative ratings (M1–M4) against its peer group's leave-one-out mean.
Notes: Composite score = simple mean across available agencies (S&P, Moody's, DBRS) per country-year, forward-filled from last known rating. LOO mean = leave-one-out group mean (excludes focal country). M1 = score² / LOO mean (current); M2 = within-year percentile rank; M3 = score² / lagged LOO mean; M4 = within-year percentile rank (stored separately). Source: S&P, Moody's, DBRS; World Bank GDP/FDI data.
H Composite × HDI heatmap
The joint distribution of composite credit score and the UN Human Development Index across all country-years (2010–2022, n ≈ 1,800). Cell colour = count of country-years falling in that bin. The diagonal-ish concentration confirms the strong positive correlation between rating and HDI (Spearman ρ ≈ 0.81); off-diagonal cells are countries the agencies treat very differently from what their HDI level would predict , candidate cases for further shadow-rating diagnostic. Each country's latest-year position is overlaid in white text so the heatmap reads as a country atlas as well as a density plot.
D Downloads
Headline panels behind the homepage explorer.
- paper_panel.csv — master annual sovereign panel.
- paper_rel_all.csv — relative ratings under all 59 peer groups.
- extras.json — bundle used by every explorer page.